Below, the summary of an article written by Gildas Minvielle and published in the “Lettre Economique” of February 2009, from the Institut Français de la Mode’s economic observatory, a monthly Economic Trends Newsletter which is an informational monitoring tool aimed at professionals in the sector, that detects and analyses changes and trends in the sector.
Throughout 2008, consumption of textile-apparel articles in France fell about 3 % in value under comparable conditions, in comparison to 2007. As in 2004, the volume of purchasing decreased even as prices were dropping slightly; whereas under normal circumstances consumers take advantage of lower prices to buy more.
2008 was a difficult year for other members of the European Union as well. Even the southern European countries—which traditionally place great importance on their fashion purchases— suffered last year. In Spain, consumption of clothing articles plummeted 5 % in value, while in Italy consumption shrank 2 %.
Across the Atlantic, sales of fashion and textile products also fell in 2008.
The slump in end-consumption in France, which has been relatively moderate in comparison to other sectors, has sometimes manifested itself in a drastic drop in business for companies upstream in the industry. High stock levels that don’t move and lack of visibility have taken a heavy toll on new orders for branch customers.
Will emergent economies still be a strong potential growth engine for European companies, as they face slackening demand on the European and American markets within a badly deteriorating international economic situation?
In China, according to local authorities, Gross Domestic Product growth should come close to 8 % in 2009, while GDP growth was as high as 9.7 % in 2008 and close to 12 % in 2007.
India is also affected by the slow-down of the global economy.
It is Russia that should suffer the most from the global economic turndown. Severely affected by the drop in prices of raw materials, growth will no doubt be negative in 2009.
In view of growth forecasts for 2009 for the United States and the Euro zone, (- 1.3 % and – 0.9 % respectively), the emerging economies may be the only regions to enjoy positive growth this year. Over time, emerging economies will offer European companies an alternative to their shrinking activity on the domestic market, even if—for the time being—they too will be affected by the crisis.
Read the whole article:
http://www.ifm-paris.com/EDITO/ifm_lettre_de_conjoncture_022009_GB.pdf